Choose a Day

ARI ATL 2024-04-06 18:20 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
ARI600 020 000817122
ATL000 230 22924151

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
ARI0.26-1.54Brandon Pfaadt (R) 5.099
ATL-0.564.61Max Fried (L) 0.799

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
ARI0.3820.3751671670.368 - 0.392X
ATL0.6620.667-200500.655 - 0.677X

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
ARI4520.1-0.2-0.8-5.0
ATL5212.18.82.2-1.9

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
ARIXX-21.8%-4.9%8
ATLXX2.5%-20.0%6

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
18:20

details
ARI0.375XXXXXX
ATL0.667XXXXXX

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
ATL30.00.00.00.0-1.4
ARI-10.00.00.00.0-5.2

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA

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