WC Game 1 2025-09-30

CIN LAN

WC Game 1 CIN LAN 2025-09-30

Starters

Tm	Rank	WAA	Name	IP	Tier
CIN	+059+	3.51	Hunter Greene	107.7	0.96
LAN	+121+	2.56	Blake Snell	61.3	0.46

Line Score

Tm	Line Score	R	TB	H	E
CIN	000 000 230	5	9	7	1
LAN	104 012 20	10	31	15	0

Vegas Lines

Win column displays payoff on a 100 unit bet which includes bet amount. Tier Combo Simulation (TC Sim) column will be populated after upgrades have been made to the simulator this off season.

Tm	Open	Current	Line	Win	TC Sim
CIN	0.412	0.377	+165	265	X
LAN	0.638	0.668	-201	150	X

2025 CIN LAN Matchups

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

Lineups		Pitchers		TC
CIN-0.1		Blake Snell
	-	0.46	=	-1
		Relief LAN
	-	-0.57	=	0
LAN3.51		Hunter Greene
	-	0.96	=	3
		Relief CIN
	-	-0.09	=	4

CIN WAA		LAN WAA
0.03	-	1.13	=	-1

CIN UR		LAN UR
-0.27	-	0.16	=	0

2025 Vegas Status

Tm	Vegas	Real	For	Against	#Bets
CIN	0.487	0.512	0.5%	-6.6%	157
LAN	0.603	0.574	-8.3%	2.8%	157

2025 Team Status

Tm	W	L	BAT	PITCH	UR	dPE
CIN	83	79	-3.6	47.7	-6.1	-4.0	WC
LAN	93	69	112.6	18.7	4.7	-4.6	NLDS