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NLC Game 1 LAN MIL 2025-10-13

Starters

TmRankWAANameIPTier
LAN+121+2.56Blake Snell61.30.46
MIL+079+3.07Aaron Ashby66.70.70

Line Score

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
LAN000 001 00121270
MIL000 000 0011320

Vegas Lines

Win column displays payoff on a 100 unit bet which includes bet amount. Tier Combo Simulation (TC Sim) column will be populated after upgrades have been made to the simulator this off season.

TmOpenCurrentLineWinTC Sim
LAN0.6020.605-153165X
MIL0.4460.437+129229X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
LAN4.98Aaron Ashby
-0.7=3
Relief MIL
-5.29=0
MIL1.09Blake Snell
-0.46=1
Relief LAN
-0.7=0
LAN WAAMIL WAA
1.13-2.02=-1
LAN URMIL UR
0.16--0.01=0

2025 Vegas Status

TmVegasRealForAgainst#Bets
LAN0.6030.574-8.3%2.8%157
MIL0.5280.5999.0%-19.3%159

2025 Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
LAN9369112.618.74.7-4.6NLDS
MIL976581.791.6-1.3-4.1NLDS

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