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NLC Game 3 MIL LAN 2025-10-16

Starters

TmRankWAANameIPTier
MIL+079+3.07Aaron Ashby66.70.70
LAN+169+2.00Tyler Glasnow90.30.25

Line Score

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
MIL010 000 0001741
LAN100 002 003851

Vegas Lines

Win column displays payoff on a 100 unit bet which includes bet amount. Tier Combo Simulation (TC Sim) column will be populated after upgrades have been made to the simulator this off season.

TmOpenCurrentLineWinTC Sim
MIL0.4170.415+141241X
LAN0.6310.628-169159X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
MIL1.02Tyler Glasnow
-0.25=1
Relief LAN
-0.7=0
LAN4.98Aaron Ashby
-0.7=3
Relief MIL
-5.29=0
MIL WAALAN WAA
2.02-1.13=1
MIL URLAN UR
-0.01-0.16=0

2025 Vegas Status

TmVegasRealForAgainst#Bets
MIL0.5280.5999.0%-19.3%159
LAN0.6030.574-8.3%2.8%157

2025 Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
MIL976581.791.6-1.3-4.1NLDS
LAN9369112.618.74.7-4.6NLDS

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