Baseball Handbook beta

Expected Values for 2024-09-24

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

20240924 1634 showsim.pl no gamecsv for ah away gameid 746421
20240924 1634 showsim.pl no gamecsv for ah home gameid 746421

Time	Tm	Vegas	Neutral	HAP	HAWAA	Expected Values
17:40 details	MIL	0.588	0.572	0.541	0.584	97.2	92.0	99.3
	PIT	0.450	0.428	0.459	0.416	95.0	101.9	92.4
17:40 details	CHN	0.526	0.488	0.458	0.421	92.7	87.0	80.0
	PHI	0.515	0.512	0.542	0.579	99.3	105.1	112.3
17:40 details	CIN	0.388	0.375	0.333	0.335	96.8	85.9	86.4
	CLE	0.653	0.625	0.667	0.665	95.6	102.1	101.7
17:45 details	KCA	0.647	O	O	O	O	O	O
	WAS	0.394	O	O	O	O	O	O
18:05 details	BAL	0.420	0.459	0.415	0.473	109.2	98.8	112.6
	NYA	0.620	0.541	0.585	0.527	87.1	94.2	84.8
18:07 details	BOS	0.483	0.480	0.450	0.493	99.4	93.2	102.1
	TOR	0.558	0.520	0.550	0.507	93.1	98.5	90.8
18:20 details	NYN	0.450	O	O	O	O	O	O
	ATL	0.590	O	O	O	O	O	O
18:40 details	MIA	0.334	O	O	O	O	O	O
	MIN	0.708	O	O	O	O	O	O
18:40 details	ANA	0.524	O	O	O	O	O	O
	CHA	0.517	O	O	O	O	O	O
19:10 details	SEA	0.463	0.457	0.431	0.428	98.7	93.1	92.4
	HOU	0.576	0.543	0.569	0.572	94.5	99.0	99.5
19:40 details	SLN	0.531	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA
	COL	0.510	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA
20:40 details	TEX	0.533	X	X	X	X	X	X
	OAK	0.507	X	X	X	X	X	X
20:40 details	SFN	0.439	X	X	X	X	X	X
	ARI	0.603	X	X	X	X	X	X
21:10 details	SDN	0.500	X	X	X	X	X	X
	LAN	0.541	X	X	X	X	X	X