Choose a Day

TBA BOS 2024-03-19 12:05 CST

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
TBA-0.47-1.04Tyler Alexander (L) 24.7X
BOS2.00-0.88Kutter Crawford (R) 33.3X

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
TBA0.3640.364+1751750.364 - 0.364X
BOS0.6910.691-224450.692 - 0.692X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
TBA-0.05*Kutter Crawford
-=
Relief BOS
-=
BOS-0.01*Tyler Alexander
-=
Relief TBA
-=

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
TBA1315-4.6-19.3-6.14.3
BOS151315.425.7-9.1-4.7

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
TBA1513-34.3%21.1%18
BOS1414-12.9%-15.1%20

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
12:05

details
TBA0.364XXXXXX
BOS0.691XXXXXX

Away/Home Field Advantage

TmtWAAWAAtPEPEUR

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